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Malaysian Palm Oil Board data showed November palm oil stockpiles hit a record 3.0 million tonnes, up 10% month on month, as exports fell faster than production. Early December export estimates from cargo surveyors show a further decline.
Maybank Kim Eng says the low spot price already reflects the high stocks and expects a seasonal recovery in the first quarter of 2019.
A record stockpile signals bearish near-term supply pressure, though a possible seasonal price bottom suggests limited downside from current levels for palm oil buyers.
research.sginvestors.ioSGinvestorsDec 10, 2018After 96 past bearish report events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.6%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
