
Iran agreed to cut its oil output by about 0.8 million barrels per day from 2019, an OPEC source said on Friday in Vienna. OPEC will later ask non-OPEC producers to contribute an additional 0.4 million bpd in cuts.
Iran's share of the OPEC cut is a key piece of the 1.2 million bpd package, so confirmation supports crude prices. Higher crude lifts energy and biofuel input costs.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.