
OPEC+ held its overall policy at a virtual meeting delayed by disputes over West African baselines. Saudi Arabia extended its 1 million bpd voluntary cut into the first quarter, and other members announced further reductions.
Saudi Arabia's extended cut is the main supply lever, so crude prices are likely to find support into early 2024. Higher crude lifts diesel and freight costs for feed.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.