Loading…
Snow and lodging in US wheat fields, plus dryness concerns in Europe and Russia, pushed futures higher over the past week, mainly driven by fund activity. Physical grain prices rose only slightly, and traders remain unconvinced of lasting losses.
Weather-driven fund buying lifts futures more than physical supply, so the price rally may fade if crop losses prove limited.
farmersjournal.ieAndy DoyleMay 3, 2017After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
