Indonesia's rupiah strengthened after the US Federal Reserve held rates steady and signaled a dovish stance, with fewer hikes expected in 2019. UOB revised its 2019 average rupiah forecast to 14,400 per US dollar from 14,800, citing the Fed signal and positive domestic factors such as a narrower current account deficit and higher reserves.
A firmer rupiah and a weaker dollar generally support Indonesia's import purchasing power for feed ingredients priced in dollars, while a weaker US dollar tends to lift dollar-denominated grain and meal prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.