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The South African Reserve Bank held its repo rate at 6.75% and said its model now shows only one more rate hike is needed before 2021, down from three in November. It lowered its 2019 inflation forecast to 4.8% from 5.5%, mainly because of lower oil prices and a less depreciated rand.
Less pressure for rate hikes weakens the rand, which raises local-currency costs for dollar-priced feed imports. The lower inflation outlook reflects the fall in oil prices, which affects energy costs for feed production.
poundsterlinglive.comJames SkinnerJan 17, 2019Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
