
The Canadian dollar edged lower against the US dollar on Tuesday despite higher oil prices, as investors awaited the Federal Reserve decision and Canadian GDP data. US crude settled 2.5% higher at $53.31 after US sanctions on Venezuela's PDVSA.
A weaker loonie and firmer crude both feed into Canadian and US-linked commodity pricing, while the Fed's stance on rates shapes the dollar and therefore dollar-denominated grain and oilseed values.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.