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EUR/USD fell about 1.08% on Wednesday after the Fed kept policy unchanged but projected two rate hikes in 2023. The pair dropped below 1.20 to 1.1997, its largest daily decline since March 2020.
The Fed's hawkish projections strengthened the dollar, which tends to weigh on dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices.
noortrends.aeM. AliJun 16, 2021After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
EUR/USD's large decline following the Fed's hawkish projections began on the FOMC day (16 June) and carried into the 17 June move, though the date precedes the window.
EUR/USD, the largest component of the broad dollar index, fell 1.08% on the Fed's hawkish projections.
