
The yuan gained 1.8% against the dollar in the week to January 11, reaching 6.7400, its strongest level since July and its largest weekly gain since 2005. The move followed three days of US-China talks in Beijing, and the Fed's shift to a pause helped weaken the dollar.
Bloomberg's Dollar Spot Index fell 0.9% over the same week.
A sharp yuan rally on expected trade progress signals better odds of a deal that could restore Chinese purchases of US farm commodities, while a weaker dollar supports dollar-priced commodities.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.