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The global wheat market is firming as Russian export volumes slow sharply, with January shipments estimated at 1.5 million tonnes versus nearly 5 million at the peak. An analyst expects Canadian old-crop wheat prices could rise 25 to 35 cents a bushel as business shifts to North America.
Reduced Russian export competition shifts international demand toward North American wheat, supporting prices.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.