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ING analysts said a US-China agreement to keep the renminbi stable could lower the tail risk of a competitive devaluation. They noted that FX options markets are already pricing in less risk of a yuan devaluation.
Lower devaluation risk would reduce currency-driven swings in Chinese feed-import costs and support steadier demand for US commodities.
forexcrunch.comFX StreetFeb 22, 2019After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
