HSBC economists expect USD/CNY to move toward the lower end of its 6.84-7.20 range, citing the yuan's yield advantage and growth recovery. They note the currency remains most sensitive to US-China trade matters.
A recent US-China call on Phase 1 progress was referenced.
A stronger yuan can support Chinese purchasing power for US feed commodities, but the forecast is an FX view with limited direct effect on grain flows.
After 362 past bearish macro events, USDCNY moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.