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The U.S. beef cow herd is in a stable phase of the cattle cycle at about 31.9 million head, with a slight increase expected this year and peak numbers around 2020-21. Strong exports and a healthy economy are keeping demand firm despite heavy culling of cows last year and low dairy cow prices.
A stable-to-slightly-growing cow herd means cattle supply will stay ample near term, limiting upside for cattle prices while steady export demand supports values. Feed demand from the cattle sector remains firm.
producer.comBarbara DuckworthFeb 1, 2019After 18 past neutral macro events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 56 past macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
