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A Farm Bureau economist analyzes US beef demand, which has stayed strong even as beef prices hit record highs. The piece warns that economic uncertainty could weaken demand, which would pressure fed and feeder cattle prices.
Beef demand is the key variable for cattle prices with supply fixed, so any demand slowdown would pressure cattle values and reduce feedlot margins.
fb.orgBernt NelsonMay 23, 2025After 18 past neutral macro events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 56 past macro events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.3%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
