
Global dairy prices rose 6.6% at the August 3 Global Dairy Trade auction, averaging US$2,436 per tonne, with whole milk powder up 9.9%. It was the largest gain since October 2015.
Analysts said global milk production is slowing as low returns curb EU output.
The largest auction gain in nearly a year, driven by slowing global supply, suggests firmer dairy prices ahead and higher costs for dairy-based feed ingredients.
After 41 past bullish trade events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.3% to +8.1%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Coverage of the largest GDT gain since Oct 2015 framed it as a possible start of recovery, boosting bullish sentiment on the date of the move.
Largest GDT gain since Oct 2015 was read as a possible start of recovery, supporting bullish sentiment in dairy futures.