
US gas companies announced deals at the LNG2019 conference in Shanghai to sell a combined 4.5 million tons per year of LNG from proposed multi-billion dollar projects. Nearly all of the volume was sold without a link to the Henry Hub benchmark.
Long-term US LNG export contracts expand the market for American gas and build new export capacity, but deals priced away from Henry Hub weaken its role as a benchmark. The effect on feed-ingredient prices is indirect.
After 17 past neutral trade events, Natural Gas moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -4.7% to +1.5%), and -4.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.