
European natural gas prices climbed to their highest in two years in November on fears that remaining Russian pipeline supplies would be halted or curtailed. US LNG exports to Europe surged in November as buyers paid higher prices.
The Dutch TTF benchmark reached about $14.97 per mmBtu on November 22.
Strong US LNG export pull to Europe tightens the domestic balance and supports US gas prices, though the effect on Henry Hub is partly offset by export capacity limits. Fertilizer costs tied to gas remain elevated.
After 17 past neutral trade events, Natural Gas moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -4.7% to +1.5%), and -4.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.