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TD Securities said the dollar is unlikely to come under significant pressure despite a dovish Fed, since other economies are weak and the dollar offers the highest carry among G10 currencies. The firm did not expect a policy change at the coming meeting.
A resilient dollar keeps US export commodities less competitive abroad, a mild bearish factor for grain and meal prices.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.