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Scotiabank said the dollar may struggle to extend gains because strong first-quarter GDP was driven by inventories and soft consumer demand. The dollar slipped after the GDP release, suggesting the good news is already priced in.
If the dollar peaks, dollar-denominated feed commodities may get modest support, though the analyst view is that the currency stays firm for now.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.