Loading…

The US Dollar Index traded near 98.00 ahead of the July PCE inflation release, after Q2 GDP was revised up to 3.3% annualized. Traders expected headline PCE of 2.6% y/y and core of 2.9%, and Governor Waller said he would back a September cut.
Expectations of Fed easing and concerns over Fed independence influence the dollar, which affects US commodity export competitiveness and pricing in dollar terms.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.