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USDA reduced its corn-for-ethanol projection by 150 million bushels since the September WASDE, now at 5.5 billion bushels. Corn use for ethanol was down 4% in the first half of the marketing year, and the author expects continued weakness before summer driving season.
Lower ethanol grind reduces corn demand and co-product DDGS output is expected to stay ample, which is bearish for corn and DDGS prices unless gasoline demand or exports strengthen.
origin.farmdocdaily.illinois.eduHongxia JiaoApr 29, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
