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USDA's March 29 Grain Stocks and Prospective Plantings reports showed corn stocks and corn planting intentions far above pre-report estimates, with corn intentions at 92.8 million acres. Wheat and soybean stocks were also above expectations, and soybean acreage intentions fell to 84.6 million.
Corn futures fell 17 cents, wheat 6 to 10 cents and soybeans 5 cents.
A large corn acreage intention and surprise stocks signal a heavy feed grain supply ahead, which is bearish for feed prices. Flooding could still reduce planted acres.
proag.comApr 1, 2019After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
