
Russia has not made a final decision on extending the OPEC-led production cut agreement, with Energy Minister Alexander Novak saying it is too early to choose options. OPEC and allies will hold a summit on June 25-26 to decide on an extension.
Russia's undecided stance adds uncertainty to whether supply curbs continue, which could either support or weaken crude prices in the coming months.
After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.