
Russia's government said low global oil stockpiles were a major factor behind the OPEC+ decision to raise August output by 548,000 bpd. The statement was issued on July 5 after the group's Saturday meeting.
Tight inventories support crude prices even as output rises, so the net price effect on energy costs is mixed.
After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.