
OPEC+ agreed on May 5 to raise its June crude output target by 432,000 barrels per day, keeping to its plan to unwind 2020 pandemic cuts. The group said it could not be blamed for disruptions to Russian supply and flagged China's COVID lockdowns as a threat to demand.
The modest hike is largely expected and adds little supply, so it gives limited relief to crude prices, which stay elevated on Russia sanctions risk. Higher energy costs feed into diesel and freight costs for feed transport.
After 175 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.6% to +3.0%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 187 past neutral policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -4.0% to +3.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.