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President Trump said a $16 billion farm and ranch aid package for producers hurt by the China trade war would be paid for with tariff revenue from Chinese goods. The White House announced the package hours before the event, with $14.5 billion in direct payments to grain, oilseed, dairy and pork producers.
Direct payments can keep farmers planting and holding acreage despite weak export demand, which limits downside in prices for corn and soybeans. The package does not restore lost Chinese purchases, so the trade dispute remains bearish for export-oriented crops.
cnbc.comChristina Wilkie, Jeff DanielsMay 23, 2019After 1,623 past policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 1,905 past policy events, SOY moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.8%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 1,019 past policy events, WHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
