Agrarian crisis one of the biggest challenges for new govt

After 43 past macro events, RICE moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -2.0% to +2.3%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Nov 5, 2019Strong baht poses challenges to Thai rice farmers+1.7%
• Feb 19, 2025How the falling rupee is lowering Indian food prices for UAE shoppers-4.0%
• Nov 14, 2025Thai rice sector in crisis as yields fall, costs rise and export prices hit 15-year low-0.9%
• Dec 22, 2022The impact of higher agricultural commodity prices on emerging and low-income countries+0.3%
• Jun 7, 2024RBI MPC Meet: Committed to bring inflation back to target of 4% on a durable basis, says RBI governor - BusinessToday+1.6%

After 152 past macro events, WHEAT moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.1%), and -0.7% over 20.

• Jan 21, 2022The Fertilizer Crisis Is Getting Real for Europe Food Prices - Bloomberg+0.5%
• May 7, 2026EuroGrainExchange highlights new risk map for Black Sea grain trade | Miller Magazine+3.6%
• Jun 25, 2018COT Dollar strength and trade fears trigger big changes across forex and commodities | Saxo-0.0%
• Apr 1, 2021Are We Witnessing the Start of a New Commodities Supercycle?+0.2%
• Dec 22, 20202021 Australian Dollar forecasts upgraded as the AUD soars to new highs - S Money+0.2%