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CIAT is developing an agroclimatic bulletin to help Central American farmers prepare for El Niño-related climate variability. The article cites expected problems including water scarcity for crops, livestock feed shortages and higher forest-fire risk in Guatemala.
The project is funded by IFAD under the CGIAR climate program.
The effect is regional and mostly about adaptation planning rather than global supply. Central American maize and feed demand could tighten if drought develops, but the impact on world prices is minor.
ccafs.cgiar.orgArely Valdivia Araica (CIAT CentroaméricaMay 2, 2019After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
