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Oklahoma State economist Derrell Peel says farmers are likely to forgo planting millions of acres of corn and soybeans due to the wet season. He says this is already affecting the beef supply chain from feedlots to cow-calf producers.
Larger protein supplies and softening demand are also cited as headwinds.
Prevented planting reduces expected grain supply, supporting corn and soybean prices and raising feed costs for cattle feeders. Cattle margins face pressure from this cost squeeze.
tscra.orgWritten by: kristinJun 19, 2019After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 29 past bearish weather events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +2.6%), and +2.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
