An Ohio State BEEF Cattle Letter column reviews three issues for cattle feeders: feed costs, drought, and feedlot inventory. It cites nearby corn at $6.48/bu and December corn at $5.37/bu, with 67% of the corn crop planted.
It also notes that 44% of national pasture was in poor or very poor condition and that drought is not improving.
Higher corn prices raise the cost of feeding cattle, which weighs on feeder cattle demand. Drought-reduced pasture could also push more cattle into feedlots, adding to fed cattle supply pressure.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 29 past bearish weather events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +2.6%), and +2.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.