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A commentary co-authored by a former PBOC official argues that keeping the yuan basically stable is crucial, since devaluation would give only short-term export gains without improving competitiveness. It also notes that net exports were a negative contributor to GDP last year.
A stable yuan limits the risk of a sharp currency-driven drop in Chinese import demand for US and Brazilian feed commodities.
en.imsilkroad.comJul 9, 2019After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
