
Traders and analysts say they remain puzzled by the counter-cyclical factor the People's Bank of China added to its yuan midpoint formula in late May. The PBOC said in its quarterly monetary policy report that the change makes the regime more transparent and rule-based.
Harder-to-forecast yuan midpoints add currency risk for Chinese importers of feed ingredients, which can delay purchasing and add volatility to dollar-priced feed commodity trades.
After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.