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Rabobank reaffirmed its end-2019 forecast of USD/BRL at 3.70. It attributes most of the real's weakness over the past year to a stronger global dollar driven by US tariffs, with local reform optimism partly offsetting.
The bank expects a limited real rally this year given mixed global conditions.
A weaker real than some expect keeps Brazilian soybean, meal and corn offers competitive on world markets, which can cap upside in dollar-denominated feed prices.
octaafrica.netJul 5, 2019After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
