
Hoard's Dairyman's Washington Dairygrams column reports Class III futures averaging $17.70 through mid-July after a 70-cent rise, and USDA raising its 2019 All-Milk price projection to $18.20. It also notes that US cheese, whey and skim milk powder sales to China have fallen sharply since retaliatory tariffs, with African swine fever possibly a larger factor in whey declines.
Stronger Class III milk prices and USDA's higher forecast support dairy-feed demand outlook, while China trade barriers and swine fever cut export demand for dairy and whey feed ingredients.
After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.