EUR/USD fell to near 1.0700, its lowest level in over four months, after Trump's election win. The dollar index rose to 105.30.
Trump's pledged tariffs and tax cuts were seen as boosting the dollar and raising the risk of a downturn in the euro zone, UK, China and Canada.
A firmer dollar and rising downturn risk in major trading partners tend to weaken dollar-priced feed commodity demand and raise import costs for buyers in those markets.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Shows EUR/USD falling to its four-month low near 1.0700 as the dollar index rose, with tariffs seen raising downturn risk for the euro zone.
EUR/USD fell to a four-month low while the dollar index rose, on tariff and tax-cut expectations.
EUR/USD hit a four-month low as the dollar index rose on tariffs and tax-cut expectations, adding to the initial leg down.