
Gasoline and diesel supplies in the US, including Florida and the lower Atlantic states, are described as well stocked ahead of Hurricane Dorian. Lower Atlantic distillate stocks are slightly below the five-year average, and East Coast refinery runs are at 66.9% utilization.
Possible impacts include terminal and retail shutdowns and rack-level price spikes if the storm is severe.
Hurricane-driven terminal shutdowns could briefly lift regional diesel prices and disrupt fuel delivery for feed and grain transport in the Southeast.
After 50 past weather events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -4.8% to +5.7%), and +8.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.