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An editorial argues that OPEC supply management, in place since January 2017, is growing harder to sustain as non-OPEC supply outpaces demand. The IEA estimated a global surplus of 900,000 b/d in the first half of 2019.
Producers limiting output are losing market share.
Rising non-OPEC supply and a surplus weigh on crude prices over time, which affects diesel costs and biofuel margins. The editorial suggests cuts may weaken, a bearish risk for energy-linked feed input costs.
ogj.comAug 20, 2019After 215 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -4.4% to +3.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 210 past bearish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -3.8% to +3.2%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
