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Overnight implied volatility on the rand jumped to 25%, the highest since August 2018, before easing, ahead of the Federal Reserve decision. The market expected a quarter-point cut, and traders feared a sharp rand move if the Fed disappointed.
Heightened currency volatility ahead of a Fed decision raises hedging costs and import price uncertainty for South African feed buyers, while rate expectations drive dollar strength.
moneyweb.co.zaColleen Goko, BloombergSep 18, 2019Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
