
South African markets and the rand traded cautiously on Monday ahead of the US Federal Reserve decision later in the week, which is widely expected to hold rates steady. The rand was trading about 0.07% lower at R18.77 to the dollar, and the dollar index fell below 106.
Expectations of no near-term Fed cut keep the dollar firm, which supports the rand's exchange rate against the dollar and keeps import costs for dollar-priced feed inputs elevated.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.