
The ECB cut its deposit rate by 10 basis points to minus 0.5% and said rates would stay at or below current levels until inflation converges toward 2%. It also announced €20 billion in monthly bond purchases starting in November for as long as necessary.
Deeper negative rates and renewed asset buying weaken the euro and tend to lift dollar-based commodity prices in relative terms.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.