
The Baltic Dry Index is up almost 50% since July and recently touched a five-year high despite the US-China trade war. Demand for dry bulk commodities such as iron ore, coal and grain has driven the rally, with longer routes from tariffs lifting ton-mile demand.
Higher dry bulk freight raises the landed cost of grains and meals moving on longer routes, such as South American and Black Sea cargoes into Asia, which supports FOB and CIF prices for feed buyers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 230 past neutral logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.