
Brent crude rose 15% to $69.02 a barrel on Monday, its largest one-day closing gain on record. Front-month U.S. crude ended 15% higher at $62.90, its largest one-day surge in more than a decade.
The moves followed the attack on Saudi oil facilities.
Record one-day gains reflect a sudden loss of Saudi supply and a sharp risk premium. Higher crude prices raise fuel, fertilizer and freight costs that flow into feed ingredient prices.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Reports Brent's record one-day closing gain to $69.02 following the Saudi attack, matching the observed move.
Reports Brent's record one-day closing gain after the attack.