OPEC raised its August crude output by 50,000 bpd to 29.93 million bpd, according to an S&P Global Platts survey. Compliance with the output cuts was 103 percent, with Saudi Arabia pumping 9.77 million bpd and Iraq at a record high.
Despite the overcompliance, the group has struggled to push prices higher.
Rising OPEC output and high compliance point to a looser crude balance, which weighs on energy prices. Lower crude keeps diesel and freight costs down for feed buyers.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.