
Teletrade republishes the Nomura analysis that the yuan will stay above 7 per dollar in a narrow range of 7.0750 plus or minus 0.50% until November 16. Oakley said a move toward 7.00 is possible if a deal is signed in Chile.
A stable-to-firmer yuan around 7.00 would ease the cost of US commodities for Chinese buyers if phase one is signed. The outlook is mainly relevant to currency-linked import costs.
After 169 past neutral macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.2%), and -0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.