Malaysian palm oil prices strengthened as Q3 production came in lower than expected. Stock building also slowed.
Demand from India and China has increased amid trade barriers with Indonesia, and domestic B20 biodiesel implementation next year could absorb up to 15% of output.
Lower-than-expected output and slowing stock builds tighten supply and support palm oil prices. Expected biodiesel demand reduces the need for export markets.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.