
The ECB published the account of its monetary policy meeting, reviewing financial market developments since September, including hopes for a US-China trade breakthrough, receding Brexit fears, and shifting Fed rate-cut expectations. It also noted the launch of the euro short-term rate and the two-tier reserve remuneration system.
Shifts in euro rates and dollar expectations can move the EUR/USD exchange rate, which affects the competitiveness of EU and US feed ingredient exports and import costs for buyers.
After 359 past neutral macro events, DXY moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 129 past neutral macro events, EURUSD moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.