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ECB Executive Board member Fabio Panetta spoke in London on monetary policy after the energy shock from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. He noted rates have risen 300 basis points since July and balance sheet runoff will accelerate from March.
He said the ECB must carefully reassess the medium-term inflation outlook after this tightening.
Signals of a possible pause after aggressive tightening could ease pressure on the euro over time, a modest factor for dollar-priced commodities.
ecb.europa.euEuropean Central BankFeb 16, 2023After 129 past neutral macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.5% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
