
Ukraine has exported 22.68 million tonnes of staple grains in 2019/20 through November 20, up 38% year on year. The harvest reached 73 million tonnes, with a yield of 4.89 t/ha compared with 4.67 t/ha in 2018.
A larger harvest and strong export pace point to ample Black Sea grain supply, which weighs on wheat and corn prices.
After 375 past bearish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.