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Argentine farmers are switching some intended corn acreage to soybeans ahead of the new administration taking office on December 10, fearing higher export taxes. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange cut its 2019/20 corn area by 100,000 hectares to 6.3 million hectares, and planting is running slower than average.
Lower Argentine corn area and a shift toward soybeans reduce expected corn export supply and add to soybean and meal supply, with policy fears shaping the mix.
news.agropages.comNov 28, 2019After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 369 past bearish policy events, Soybeans moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 223 past bearish policy events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.2%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
