Loading…
MUFG says the Federal Reserve plans to keep expanding its balance sheet at least through the first half of 2020, and the dollar index has traded below its 200-day moving average for most of December. Total Fed assets reached USD4.166 trillion by December 25.
Continued dollar weakness would support dollar-priced feed commodities and export competitiveness for US grains and meal, though the effect is typically gradual.
forexcrunch.comFX StreetDec 31, 2019After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
